Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1997 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

UA 1997 · MCO → IAD

departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.37 in

IAD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1997 · MCO → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?