Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2003SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2003 · BZN → EWR
departs 1:38 PM MT · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±10 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.