Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2019 LANDED 2:26 PM PT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 2019 · TPA → LAX

took off 12:49 PM ET · landed 2:26 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2019 · TPA → LAX

Odds over time