Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2054SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2054 · IAD → SAN
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.