Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2071 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 2071 · SFO → MCO

departs 7:05 AM PT · arrives 3:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2071 · SFO → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?