Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 215 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 215 · ORD → ABQ

departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 11:23 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ ABQ is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 215 · ORD → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?