tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2278 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2278 · SFO → ORD

departs 10:38 PM PT · arrives 5:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.