Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2323 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

UA 2323 · IAH → MCO

departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 11:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2323 · IAH → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?