UA 2433 · EWR → BOS

departs 4:42 PM ET · arrives 6:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

BOS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2433 · EWR → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?