UA 2483 · IAH → AUS

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2483 · IAH → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?