Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2620 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 2620 · ORD → MCO

departs 1:24 PM CT · arrives 4:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2620 · ORD → MCO

Odds over time