Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2693 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

departs 3:34 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.39 in

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?