Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2808 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 2808 · DEN → SJC

departs 11:45 AM MT · arrives 1:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2808 · DEN → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?