UA 324 · ACV → LAX

took off 3:27 PM PT · landed 4:50 PM PT (scheduled 1:29 PM PT → 3:30 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ACV that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 324 · ACV → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?