Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 357SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 357 · BUR → SFO
departs 4:13 PM PT · arrives 5:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.