Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3916 LANDED 1:22 AM ET, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 3916 · IAD → EWR

took off 12:48 AM ET · landed 1:22 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3916 · IAD → EWR

Odds over time