Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 392 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:06 AM PT, ETA 5:11 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 392 · LAX → TPA

took off 10:06 AM PT · expected to land 5:11 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 392 · LAX → TPA

Odds over time