Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 410 · SAT → IAH

departs 7:43 AM CT · arrives 8:50 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from SAT are usually not late

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 410 · SAT → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?