Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 422 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 422 · ORD → ATH

departs 4:53 PM CT · arrives 10:27 AM EEST

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ATH more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 422 · ORD → ATH

Odds over time