Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 447 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:16 AM MT, ETA 2:23 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 447 · DEN → BHM

took off 11:16 AM MT · expected to land 2:23 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 447 · DEN → BHM

Odds over time