UA 555 · BOS → EWR

departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 7:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 555 · BOS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?