UA 6 · NRT → IAH

departs 5:18 PM JST · arrives 3:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT

↓ Other factors

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

NRT (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 6 · NRT → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?