Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 784 LANDED 11:23 AM MT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 784 · MEX → DEN

took off · landed 11:23 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 784 · MEX → DEN

Odds over time