Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8165 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 8165 · RDM → LAX

departs 2:17 PM PT · arrives 3:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

Weather at each end

RDM (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8165 · RDM → LAX

Odds over time