Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8182 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:33 AM MT, ETA 12:33 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 8182 · DEN → RDM

took off 11:33 AM MT · expected to land 12:33 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8182 · DEN → RDM

Odds over time