WN 1010 · BWI → HOU

departs 10:46 AM ET · arrives 1:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at BWI that day

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1010 · BWI → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?