WN 1163 · LGA → MCI

departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1163 · LGA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?