WN 1190 · CHS → BNA

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 9:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.29 in

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1190 · CHS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?