WN 1231 · BUR → BOI

departs 6:05 PM PT · arrives 9:07 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from BUR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1231 · BUR → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?