WN 1296 · HOU → COS

departs 7:01 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at COS

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

COS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1296 · HOU → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?