Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 142 · MCO → STL
departs 10:35 PM ET · arrives 12:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 8%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.63 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.