WN 143 · MCO → BHM

departs 9:23 AM ET · arrives 10:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BHM that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

BHM (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 143 · MCO → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?