WN 1463 · RNO → LGB

departs 6:55 AM PT · arrives 8:31 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1463 · RNO → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?