WN 1581 · PHL → DEN

departs 5:24 AM ET · arrives 7:24 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling333 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1581 · PHL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?