WN 1594 · SJC → SEA

departs 1:05 PM PT · arrives 3:13 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1594 · SJC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?