Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1640 LANDED 9:29 PM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 1640 · DEN → LAS

took off 9:00 PM MT · landed 9:29 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1640 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time