WN 1644 · DEN → LAX

departs 9:16 AM MT · arrives 10:41 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1644 · DEN → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?