Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1744 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:21 AM CT, ETA 8:35 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 1744 · HOU → PHX

took off 8:21 AM CT · expected to land 8:35 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.05 in

PHX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1744 · HOU → PHX

Odds over time