Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1794 LANDED 1:56 PM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

WN 1794 · DEN → SNA

took off 1:03 PM MT · landed 1:56 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1794 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time