WN 1880 · ELP → LAX

departs 9:50 PM MT · arrives 10:59 PM PT

Your aircraft is N286WN (B737), coming in as WN 3393 from PHX: landed 9:47 PM MT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from ELP are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1880 · ELP → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?