WN 1903 · SAN → AUS

departs 7:21 PM PT · arrives 12:14 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +43 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
56%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1903 · SAN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?