Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 1930 · HNL → OGG
departs 12:20 PM HT · arrives 1:10 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at OGG that day
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,133 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OGG (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.