Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 1933 · HNL → OGG
departs 5:25 PM HT · arrives 6:10 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at OGG that day
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OGG (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.