WN 1946 · GRR → LAS

took off 12:24 PM ET · expected to land 12:57 PM PT (scheduled 12:10 PM ET → 1:08 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1946 · GRR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?