WN 1958 · HNL → ITO

departs 1:30 PM HT · arrives 2:41 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ ITO is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ITO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1958 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?