WN 1962 · HNL → KOA

departs 9:45 AM HT · arrives 10:49 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ KOA is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into KOA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1962 · HNL → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?