WN 1970 · HNL → LIH

departs 9:40 AM HT · arrives 10:36 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into LIH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1970 · HNL → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?