Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2011 · HOU → LAX
departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 4%
Fri 10/9 35%
Sat 10/10 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.