Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2036 · HOU → MCO
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.