Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2042
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 2042 · HOU → MDW
departs 4:40 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 21%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.